The President is the choice for those younger than 40 years after the death of her husband. Outperforms Scioli, Alfonsin, Macri, Cobos and Duhalde. They are the basis of his proposed re-election in 2011.

Idyll. In his appearances after the death of Nestor, Cristina gave them the warmest words to the young. I appreciated the support and further called model.

Youth and politics, the conjunction of Nestor Kirchner encouraged as a basis of support of government begins to be viewed as an important factor governing the electorate.

Is that ten days after the death of former president, most young people opt for Cristina if the presidential election were held today.

According to a survey by Management & Fit (M & F) based on 996 cases, 290.7 of the 521 respondents who would vote for Cristina are under 40 years. In other words, the incidence of the segment that is between 18 and 39 K on the ballot is the highest compared with other candidates.

The same survey shows that of 52.1 of the respondents who said they would vote for Cristina, 55.8% are under 40 years.

In the case of Daniel Scioli, of the 381 cases they would vote for him, 209.1 correspond to the youth segment. Alfonsin followed with 422 likely voters, of which 207.2 are young.

In fourth place is Mauricio Macri. The leader of PRO, if the election were held today, the youth vote of 287 respondents 171.9.

Behind him, the Vice President Julio Cobos was regarded by young people who choose to 151.7 on a total of 309 people, while Eduardo Duhalde 101.8 reaped about 213 potential voters.

It is worth mentioning that the sum of preferences exceeds 996 cases because respondents could choose to elect more than one candidate.

The rise of the young K, Max Kirchner at the helm, was seen on the streets during the funeral procession and Nestor, mass demonstrations, expressions of affection, permanent signs and chants.

The JP, La Campora, Trend, youth groups such as The Shed, youths Prevents Movement, the Land and Housing Federation (Luis D'Elia), among others.

Excited during the vigil with the gestures of affection, Cristina not only thanked the youth for their support (even said that in the face of each one of them saw when I met Nestor in the seventies), but this week again put the emphasis on his followers urged them to "redouble efforts to adversity and challenges."

Last week this newspaper revealed that, based on two polls, Cristina could win in a hypothetical runoff against Cobos, Macri or Alfonsin.

In one case, OPSM consultancy estimated that the President be reelected by a margin of between 14 and 22 percent over its rivals, as published PROFILE past weekend. Now that shows us the young component in the vote Cristina is very important.

He explained the owner of the National Electoral Alejandro Tullio, those between 18 and 35 represent 33% of the total pattern. It is about eight million people eligible to vote in 2011 (in 2009 voted about 23 million). Tullio explained, "there is still no serious studies on the participation rate" in the polls but said "the youth vote is growing."

Imprinting. In parallel, two polls show that half the electorate is composed of young Cristina. According to a survey of 800 cases by Graciela Römer for PROFILE, 51.8% of those who support the management of Cristina are under 40 years.

Consistently, another survey of over 1,200 cases Ibarómetro shows that today the President has an intention to vote of 54.9% (very far from Macri, with 7.5% and Cobos, with 6.3%). If you look closely at how the profile is composed of voter Kirchner, 44.8% of those who would vote for Cristina in the 2011 elections are young.

For consultant who runs Doris Capurro, those between 18 and 29 make up 18.8% of the electorate K, while those between 30 and 44 years reached 26%.

Fornoni: "It is striking how they went from apathy to engagement"

The phenomenon of youth, the director of Management & Fit, Mariel Fornoni, stated that "there is a paradigm shift from what was observed in 2007 and 2009. "It is striking what is given to young people because what was coming seeing is a high incidence of the political apathy," said Fornoni this newspaper. "Now we see demonstrations and children committed to the policy, which contrasts with the paradigm with which we were working. That is, young people did not care about politics, "he said.

"Until 2009 the young show much disinterest. As they approached the electoral process, candidates are generating options as well. To the extent that in many cases the surveys showed us that ended up in consultation with their parents or deciding vote for a candidate because they saw an ad on TV that they liked. It was worrying, "he asked. "In fact, for example in 2007, the highest percentage of undecided voters was for the youth segment," he said.

Director of Management & Fit completed the picture that was displayed at that time with a more global, "This also has to do with one of the major problems of Argentina: the lack of a ruling class."

Next, was surprised by the massive demonstrations and today shows the commitment of youth with political projects, in particular that embodies the national government and the Kirchner. "I was surprised by the appearance of youth in this way. It is an achievement, no doubt. It is important that young people take politics as a tool to generate welfare of others. "

However, in conclusion, Fornoni left open the political map and the influence of young forwards: "Anyway, still have to see how it capitalizes on this phenomenon in the future."

Römer: "It strengthens the profile epic

For consultant Graciela Römer, "the incidence of youth is strong."

As the owner said Graciela Romer y Asociados in dialogue with PROFILE, "in the segment from 18 to 25 years, the voting intentions of the Front for Victory is different from the average of the total electorate."

He added: "This shows that there is a tendency in the under-25 years, FPV appears as a valid option. This option is the government of Cristina Fernández will give priority to in the second stage of its management after the death of Nestor Kirchner, a strong momentum for its impact on political assembly. Even this difference of votes will be an important focus. "

The sociologist said that "the youth vote in the electorate of Cristina reinforces what we've seen since the death of Nestor Kirchner. This is a transformative strategy. "

However, Romer said that has not yet fully dimensioned how this will impact the movement in electoral terms.

"Yet the phenomenon does not appear as strong as a volume in order to be considered today an entirely key to the success of Cristina Fernandez in 2011, but everything will depend on how far this movement can expand and have transformed what capacity major axis in a campaign, "argued the specialist.

Furthermore, in the same line of analysis, the head of Römer and Associates, stated that "the youth factor will also help strengthen the profile of what epic has been the project Kirchner."

Capurro: "There is a new passion

Referring to rejuvenate youth Ibarómetro director, Doris Capurro, noted that this phenomenon is something we have been seeing a lot earlier. The emergence of a new inclusion of youth in politics is something that is ongoing. It is as if they had gone into politics with enthusiasm and in a non-organic. That is, not all are active in games, but return to politics to demonstrate convinced some projects and willing to discuss them, to fight them. "

To Capurro "is a new passion, a new policy infatuation with youth, and is also a qualitative phenomenon." He added: "I mean, particularly those who vote for the most fanatical kirchnerismo are young, more militant, more participatory in different ways. And the intensity with which supporters erupted after the death of Kirchner. "

Among the issues that, according to director Ibarómetro appear as popular prop shafts appear to the dependence of the IMF, the nationalization of pensions and an eye toward social inclusion. "But we also found a particular accession has to do with a look that makes the idiosyncrasies of Kirchner: its drive to confront the powers that be. This is both a part of the identity of Kirchner and young people, "said Capurro.

"Other young people have mobile is the romantic nature of falling in love with politics and ideals. In this Kirchner explicitly encouraged the youth to be flushed to militancy, "he added.

Source: Journal Profile